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Filippo Arigoni

International & European Relations

Division: External Developments
Current Position: Economist
Fields of interest: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics,International Economics
Email: filippo.arigoni@ecb.europa.eu

Biography

Education: 2015-2019
PhD in Economics, University of Padova; 2018-2019
Advanced Study Program in International Economic Policy Research, Kiel Institut für Weltwirtschaft; 2013-2015
MSc in Economics and Finance, University of Padova; 2010-2013
BSc in Economics and Business Administration, University of Pisa
Professional experience: 2024-
Economist - External Developments Division, Directorate General International & European Relations, European Central Bank; 2022-2024
Economist - Macroprudential Analysis Team, Macro-Financial Division, Central Bank of Ireland; 2019-2022
Research Economist - Monetary Policy and Research Unit, Analysis and Research Division, Banka Slovenije

ECB publications

13 February 2025

ECONOMIC BULLETIN - BOX

The outlook for services inflation in the United States and the United Kingdom

Economic Bulletin Issue 1, 2025

English

Abstract: While headline inflation has decelerated significantly across advanced economies in the past two years, services inflation has remained high. This box examines the key factors influencing services inflation in the United States and the United Kingdom, highlighting the role of labour market tightness and catch-up dynamics in non-rent services inflation, and the contribution of rent inflation to overall services inflation. Looking ahead, services inflation is expected to moderate amid a lower contribution from catch-up inflation dynamics, a cooling of labour markets and decreasing inflation for new rental agreements.
JEL Code: E31 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles→Price Level, Inflation, Deflation
E24 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy→Employment, Unemployment, Wages, Intergenerational Income Distribution, Aggregate Human Capital
C22 : Mathematical and Quantitative Methods→Single Equation Models, Single Variables→Time-Series Models, Dynamic Quantile Regressions, Dynamic Treatment Effect Models &bull Diffusion Processes
C32 : Mathematical and Quantitative Methods→Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models, Multiple Variables→Time-Series Models, Dynamic Quantile Regressions, Dynamic Treatment Effect Models, Diffusion Processes

21 September 2021

OCCASIONAL PAPER SERIES - No. 274

Clear, consistent and engaging: ECB monetary policy communication in a changing world

English

Abstract: This paper examines the importance of central bank communication in ensuring the effectiveness of monetary policy and in underpinning the credibility, accountability and legitimacy of independent central banks. It documents how communication has become a monetary policy tool in itself; one example of this being forward guidance, given its impact on inflation expectations, economic behaviour and inflation. The paper explains why and how consistent, clear and effective communication to expert and non-expert audiences is essential in an environment of an ever-increasing need by central banks to reach these audiences. Central banks must also meet the demand for more understandable information about policies and tools, while at the same time overcoming the challenge posed by the wider public’s rational inattention. Since the European Central Bank was established, the communications landscape has changed dramatically and continues to evolve. This paper outlines how better communication, including greater engagement with the wider public, could help boost people’s understanding of and trust in the Eurosystem.
JEL Code: E43 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Money and Interest Rates→Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
E52 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit→Monetary Policy
E58 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit→Central Banks and Their Policies

External publications

2023

Central Bank of Ireland - Research Technical Papers 7/2023

Foreign economic policy policy uncertainty shocks and real activity in the Euro Area